{"id":3545,"date":"2016-09-17T17:57:48","date_gmt":"2016-09-18T00:57:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/?p=3545"},"modified":"2016-09-23T19:06:42","modified_gmt":"2016-09-24T02:06:42","slug":"trump-doomed-by-fatal-surge-in-polls-as-mrs-clinton-recovers-from-that-little-stumble","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/?p=3545","title":{"rendered":"Trump doomed by fatal surge in polls as Mrs. Clinton recovers from that little \u2018stumble\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"23357\"<\/a><\/p>\n

How deeply are the New York-based Lamestream Media in the bag for Hillary Clinton?<\/p>\n

In a Sept. 16 posting at the web site of the New Yorker magazine, headlined \u201cThe Big Question About Donald Trump\u2019s Rise in the Polls\u201d ( http:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/john-cassidy\/the-big-question-about-donald-trumps-rise-in-the-polls<\/a> ), British-born staff writer John Cassidy responds to the fact that Donald Trump now leads not only in several nationwide popular-vote polls, but also in several key battleground states once considered firmly in the Hillary Clinton column, by informing us \u201cPolitical scientists and polling experts generally agree that big shifts in the polls can usually be attributed to two interrelated factors: real shifts in voter sentiment, and statistical outcomes that result from what experts call differential response.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u2018When candidates are doing badly, and they have a lot of bad news, some of their supporters don\u2019t respond to surveys,\u2019 Ruy Teixeira, a senior fellow and polling expert at the Democratic-leaning Center for American Progress, explained to me. These changes in response rates can serve to amplify and exaggerate underlying swings. \u2018We can be pretty sure some of that is going on,\u2019 Teixeira said. . . .<\/p>\n

\"th\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cMost of the latest campaign surveys were carried out during last weekend and earlier this week, when the news was dominated by Clinton\u2019s stumble outside Ground Zero, which prompted the campaign to reveal that she had pneumonia,\u201d Mr. Cassidy simpers, parroting the latest health \u201cfallback cover story\u201d from his Let\u2019s-Elect-Hillary talking points. (What caused her September 9 pneumonia? The Sept. 5 \u201callergy\u201d coughing fit in Cleveland, on a day when there were zero allergens reported in the air in that city? Have they been letting Mrs. Clinton take long walks in the rain? She collapses due to “pneumonia” but 90 minutes later she’s shouting to reporters over city traffic that she feels great? Find me another patient whose pneumonia is so bad she loses consciousness, but 90 minutes later she’s striding around, smiling and waving and shouting.)<\/p>\n

\u201cThat incident came a couple of days after she caused a furor by describing half of Trump\u2019s supporters as a \u2018basket of deplorables.\u2019 As Teixeira put it, \u2018this is a particularly bad time for Hillary Clinton.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n

\"th\"<\/a><\/p>\n

So the fact that Hillary Clinton — who on an overcast day was wearing dramatically blue sunglasses which are known to moderate Parkinson\u2019s symptoms, from whose presence her staff has done its best to ban flashbulbs (known to trigger Parkinson\u2019s \u201cfreezes\u201d), who now travels with her personal physician at one elbow, urging her to \u201csqueeze my fingers\u201d when she seems \u201cout of it,\u201d and (at the other elbow) a 300-pound \u201chealth aide\u201d big enough to pick her up and throw her bodily into her special \u201clow-step-entry\u201d van whenever necessary to escape the view of the press and public — collapsed and had to be thrown into said van last Sunday on a perfectly pleasant 77-degree autumn morning in New York (note Mr. Cassidy calls this \u201ca stumble,\u201d defined as tripping over some obstacle but quickly recovering your balance); along with<\/strong> the fact that her Secret Service detail then violated their own protocols by taking a presidential nominee who could (after all) be suffering an attempted assassination by poisoning to her daughter\u2019s apartment instead of to the closest top-rated trauma center (Bellevue Hospital, where they would have done blood tests<\/strong>, you see, which could have revealed to outsiders whether she was on L-Dopa or valium or who knows what else) -\u2013 a violation of protocol which only<\/strong> could have happened if everyone involved knew<\/strong> what was wrong, that it was a recurrent but still treatable neurological disorder ( https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=q5mYx5oCxEg<\/a> ); . . . combined<\/strong> with the fact Mrs. Clinton felt it necessary to apologize for the fact that two nights before she\u2019d reviled one quarter of the American electorate as \u201ca basket of deplorables . . . racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamaphobic — you name it\u201d . . . none<\/strong> of these things have caused any voters to change their minds about voting for her?<\/p>\n

No, no: it\u2019s just made them so depressed they\u2019ve stopped answering the phone!<\/p>\n

\u201cThe very fact that Clinton is now back campaigning should change the tone of the news coverage of her, which, in turn, should encourage more of her supporters to respond to voter surveys,\u201d Mr. Cassidy continues, with an obvious sigh of relief.<\/p>\n

But then it gets even better!<\/p>\n

The Horror of Bumpkin Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cUp to this point, the prospect of Trump entering the White House had been a distant one. Now that it has become a genuine possibility, there could well be a counterreaction,\u201d Mr. Cassidy of the New Yorker (via Oxford and Columbia University) carefully explains. \u201cAnd if Trump were to take a lead in the polls, this response could be a substantial one. Some people who have been flirting with voting for Trump, never thinking he could win, could change their minds. More important, a lot of progressives and independents who were thinking of voting for a thirty-party candidate, or of not voting at all, could switch to Clinton in order to keep Trump out. That could tip the race back in Clinton\u2019s direction.\u201d<\/p>\n

So -\u2013 have I got this straight? -\u2013 Americans tend to tell pollsters they\u2019re planning to vote for some candidate who they believe can\u2019t win, but they then shift away<\/strong> from that candidate if and when it looks like he actually could<\/strong> win? (Doesn\u2019t history show us, to the contrary, that the double-digit polling of Third Party candidates almost always drops below 1 percent on election day, precisely because they lose<\/strong> support as those who might favor their platforms finally acknowledge \u201cThey can\u2019t win,\u201d shifting in the final days to candidates who seem to be “within striking range”?)<\/p>\n

\"th\"<\/a><\/p>\n

And do I also have this<\/strong> straight? -\u2013 that the fact Trump is finally ahead in some polls in battleground states where he’s drawing crowds in the tens of thousands<\/strong> could be the cause of his defeat?!<\/strong> Far from encouraging more of his supporters to turn out and vote for him now that victory seems a real possibility (rather than shrug \u201cWhy bother?\u201d as the Lamestream Media would obviously much prefer), his surge in the polls will motivate only the enthusiastic Hillaryites, now regularly showing up at her closed-door rallies by the . . . well, by the dozen?<\/p>\n

It could even cause Independents and third party voters to switch to Hillary! (Perhaps because she\u2019s so dedicated to defending their gun rights? Or because they hope to see a few thousand unassimilable, chanting, rock-throwing, Sharia-spouting Muslim \u201crefugee\u201d rape gangs dumped into their<\/strong> home towns ( https:\/\/refugeeresettlementwatch.wordpress.com\/2016\/09\/16\/flint-michigan-an-economically-troubled-city-to-get-100-middle-eastern-refugees\/<\/a> ), so their<\/strong> government can urge local women to start wearing sack dresses and head-scarves to avoid being raped, as is now happening in Germany? ( http:\/\/www.infowars.com\/tv-ad-encourages-german-women-to-wear-hijabs\/<\/a> , and see also https:\/\/refugeeresettlementwatch.wordpress.com\/2016\/09\/16\/german-humanitarian-worker-tells-his-horror-story-about-working-with-refugees\/<\/a> .)<\/p>\n

Can we say \u201cwhistling past the graveyard\u201d?<\/p>\n

\u201cUntil now, the campaign has unfolded against a backdrop of consensus that Trump will lose,\u201d the New Yorker guy continues to patiently explain. \u201cBut now the complacent belief that Trump is unelectable has been shattered. On Friday, Five Thirty Eight\u2019s \u2018polls-only\u2019 model estimated that the probability of him winning was about forty per cent.\u201d<\/p>\n

In fact, the presumption that \u201cTrump couldn\u2019t win,\u201d was primarily among the New York-Washington political-media elite, wasn\u2019t it?<\/p>\n

They figured if they spent all spring and summer playing carefully excerpted video clips of the plainspoken businessman, demonizing and attacking Trump personally (see the Saul Alinsky playbook) as an egotist, a foul-mouthed narcissist, a pathological liar, a racist (because he wants our existing immigration laws enforced the same way for everyone), a sexist, an Islamophobe (because he wants to track and fight Muslim terrorists, and keep them out of our country), a fruitcake who \u201chas declared bankruptcy 6 or 7 times\u201d (Do we know the difference between personal bankruptcy and owning shares of companies that seek to reorganize under legal bankruptcy protection? Anyone in the Democratic camp? Hello? Do we know anything<\/strong> about the way our free-market economy works?) . . . who wants \u201cTax cuts for the rich!\u201d (as though there\u2019s any way to cut taxes for anyone without leaving the rich with more of their own earnings to invest in creating new jobs, oh the horror!) . . . that by fall enough of this would stick that he\u2019d be reduced to a quivering puddle of tears, issuing apologies and begging them to stop.<\/p>\n

\"47886623\"<\/a><\/p>\n

It didn\u2019t work. They\u2019re stunned, and reduced to shouting into their microphones — like the Wizard of Oz revealed to be a cheap carnival huckster by the efforts of Toto the dog — \u201cPay no attention to the little man behind the curtain!\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cTrump still faces a basic conundrum: How can you win an election when your approval rating is under forty per cent and your disapproval rating is the highest of any Presidential candidate in recent history?\u201d Mr. Cassidy continues.<\/p>\n

\"th\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Funded by the Saudis<\/strong><\/p>\n

What an interesting \u201ccut-off point\u201d to pick, when ABC News reported on Aug. 31 Hillary Clinton has an \u201cunfavorable\u201d rating of 59 percent to Trump\u2019s 60 percent (huge difference!) -\u2013 before<\/strong> she said what she really thinks of all those rubes out in Flyover Land with the \u201cDeplorables\u201d comment, before<\/strong> the Judicial Watch FOIA e-mail dump documented millions of dollars worth of Hillary-Huma \u201cpay-for-play\u201d bribery via the Clinton Foundation, before<\/strong> most Americans knew Hillary was showing multiple symptoms (including \u201cfrequent confusion,\u201d per Huma) of concussions from falls and\/or strokes possibly caused by disabling advanced Parkinson\u2019s under treatment with Leva-Dopa, before<\/strong> many Americans had started to look into Huma Abedin and her mother\u2019s extremist, Saudi-funded magazine and Obama’s buddies the Muslim Brotherhood and the way the Bengazi arms deals allowed the Obama-Clinton administration to arm the Muslim fundamentalist \u201cISIS\u201d rebels in Syria, and\/or the way the Obama administration has sold this nation out to the \u201cSharia-settlement jihad\u201d back here at home.<\/p>\n

(see Phil Haney, author of \u201cSee Something, Say Nothing: A Homeland Security Officer Exposes the Government’s Submission to Jihad,\u201d here and elsewhere: http:\/\/www.wnd.com\/2016\/09\/dhs-whistleblower-muslims-waging-settlement-jihad-on-u-s\/<\/a> ; or https:\/\/www.c-span.org\/video\/?414748-6\/act-america-2016-conference-part-6<\/a> .)<\/p>\n

But we wouldn\u2019t want to ask Mrs. Clinton<\/strong> \u201cHow can you win an election when your approval rating is under 42 percent and your disapproval rating is the highest of any Presidential candidate in recent history?\u201d . . . would we?<\/p>\n

\u201cIn the past couple of weeks . . . it has looked like Trump may have found a way to square the circle, Mr. Cassidy concludes. \u201cBut now that the prospect of him sitting in the Oval Office is a more real and salient one, the dynamics of the contest are different. And they could well turn against him.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"th\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Well, thank heavens that\u2019s been explained to us, finally.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll admit I was so na\u00efve, I thought if a presidential candidate survived months of \u201cthrow it all at the wall\u201d proxy attacks from the in-the-bag \u201cobjective media,\u201d came out smiling and then surged from 20 points behind to take a lead in the race just seven weeks out — only a few weeks before early and absentee voting begins — especially<\/strong> when that candidate is a law-and-order conservative while both the poll-takers and the media outlets who are reporting the results are further left than the current government in Moscow — about as anxious to report him in the lead as they are to attend an NRA red-meat barbecue and machine-gun shoot — that might mean said candidate was . . . you know . . . winning, if not actually on his way to leading an historic renunciation of anti-American, Multi-Cultural Political Correctness of landslide proportions, as Iowa has shifted strongly to Trump, as Florida has shifted to Trump, as North Carolina has shifted to Trump, as Ohio has shifted strongly to Trump, and now Nevada and Colorado . . . as he edges closer in Maine, meaning if he can just grab either Michigan or Pennsylvania . . .<\/p>\n

\"huma-abedin-saleha-mahmood-abedin-2-200x200\"<\/a><\/p>\n

While Hillary taking tens of millions from the Saudis through her \u201cfoundation,\u201d millions more in bribes in the form of $750,000 corporate “speaking fees” for Bill, letting Americans die in Bengazi rather than admit they were there to ship arms to the ISIS rebels in Syria, lecturing Saudi women to be happy in their burkas ( http:\/\/nypost.com\/2016\/08\/21\/huma-abedin-worked-at-a-radical-muslim-journal-for-10-years\/<\/a> ), and picking as her Number One Gal Pal a \u201cproud\u201d Muslim whose name appeared for a decade on the masthead of a magazine that claims Americans got what we deserved on Sept. 11 . . . just shows us what a great patriot and champion of women\u2019s rights she is. So let us all thank heavens she\u2019s completely recovered from that little \u201cstumble\u201d . . .<\/p>\n

\"humaabedinbw8sl7sauo0m\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

How deeply are the New York-based Lamestream Media in the bag for Hillary Clinton? In a Sept. 16 posting at the web site of the New Yorker magazine, headlined \u201cThe Big Question About Donald Trump\u2019s Rise in the Polls\u201d ( http:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/john-cassidy\/the-big-question-about-donald-trumps-rise-in-the-polls ), British-born staff writer John Cassidy responds to the fact that Donald Trump now […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[63,5,77,22,79,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2016-election","category-elections","category-islam","category-media","category-muslim-subversion","category-religion"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pWqFl-Vb","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3545","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3545"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3545\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3604,"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3545\/revisions\/3604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinsuprynowicz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}