LIBERTARIAN CAMPAIGN AIMS TO ‘COST BUSH THE ELECTION’
On June 14, the Seattle Times editorialized that the entrance requirements for the tedious, moribund, rigorously stage-managed turn-offs that today pass for our presidential “debates” should be loosened — but not too much.
“This year, Nader needs an average of 15 percent support in five national polls in order to be included,” the Times reports. “He is currently pegged at 7 percent by Gallup poll and 3 percent by Zogby. Who decided the 15 percent cutoff? The Commission on Presidential Debates, which is effectively controlled by the two major parties.”
Solution? “It’s time to reconsider the current format and the lock on presidential debates by the two major parties,” the Times recommends.
Right on.
But wait. There still has to be “some cutoff point in voter popularity,” The Seattlites immediately added. “Otherwise, George Bush and John Kerry would have to give equal network TV time to Michael Badnarik of the Libertarian Party and Walt Brown of the Socialist Party,” warn the Seattlites, evidently palpitating from the effect of too much Starbuck’s. “If the debates were opened up to such candidates, there might be dozens of them.”
The correct level of perceived public support for admission into the debates? Fifteen percent is too high, but 5 percent would be too low, the Times figures. Ten percent would be just right.
“What a bunch of idiots,” comments Richard Winger of the San Francisco-based Ballot Access News. “Walt Brown is not gonna be in the ballot in more than three or four states — South Carolina, New Jersey, Vermont — the most he can get is six.
Winger is the national expert on this stuff.
“It would be a mistake in my opinion to ever invite Walt Brown,” Winger agrees, since “There are four socialist candidates” from the warring branches of the dying movement “and they’ll each be on the ballot in a handful of states.”
Which means none has even a theoretical mathematical chance of winning the presidency.
If that were the only standard — ballot status in enough states to theoretically win the White House — how many candidates would debate?
Five this year, Mr. Winger replies. The Democrat and Republican, Ralph Nader, Libertarian Michael Badnarik, and the nominee of the Constitution Party. “It’s conceivable if the Greens are stupid enough to nominate somebody other than Nader, there could conceivably be six, at the outside.”
Mind you, if the presence of Walt Brown and David Cobb of the Greens was the price I had to pay for some lively, interesting debates where George Bush and John Kerry had to confront new and common-sense ideas from someone as principled, personable and articulate as Austin-based computer programmer and freelance lecturer on the Constitution Michael Badnarik, it’s a price I’d gladly pay.
But this “dozens of candidates” stuff is getting to be an awfully geriatric bogeyman. And that’s letting slide the above-cited assertion that “George Bush and John Kerry would have to give equal network TV time” to a few competitors.
Is the TV time really theirs to “give”?
The Libertarian Party will be on the ballot in at least 46 states, and possibly all 50 — though arcane local election laws may require Michael Badnarik to be listed as an “Independent” in places like Ohio and Oklahoma, where the matter is now in court, the Badnarik campaign tells me.
Every presidential cycle, the Libertarian Party spends a cool million dollars petitioning for ballot position in enough states to be in position to conceivably win the presidency — a gift which is handed every four years as a freebie to the nominees of the two branches of the Incumbent Republicrat Party, giving them a million-dollar head start on actual campaigning.
I had dinner with Michael Badnarik and his campaign manager — City Councilman Fred Collins of the Detroit suburb of Berkley, Mich. — last Friday at the historic La Posta restaurant in Mesilla, N.M., just south of Las Cruces.
Fred Collins sets achievable goals for the campaign. He figures if he can raise a few million dollars for TV ads, and place them only in the swing states, he can poll a couple of percentage points for Badnarik and the Libertarians in those states — and cost George Bush the election.
What’s that? Michael Badnarik is just some wing nut who hasn’t been “proven in the heat of any real political contest?”
Actually, Michael Badnarik is a political Cinderella story. A man of modest means, he spent the past year travelling the country, campaigning for the Libertarian nomination, in a ’99 Kia Sephia. He and sidekick Jon Airheart, a former University of Texas student impressed with Badnarik’s ability to sell the libertarian message, covered 24,000 miles, hitting 36 states. Although Badnarik says there were days when they counted their dollars to see if they could afford a room and a meal and still have enough to gas up and reach the next town, in the process he has gained enormously in poise and confidence as a public speaker.
Badnarik had raised and spent $33,000 as of convention time in Atlanta three weeks ago — he couldn’t afford to stay at the party’s upscale convention hotel and instead had to drive in for the candidate debate from a Days Inn across town.
Entering the Libertarian Party convention, Badnarik was running behind late entry Aaron Russo, the former manager/paramour of Bette Midler and producer of the film “Trading Places,” who promised to bring a lot more money and drama — and thus, presumably, press coverage — to the party’s presidential campaign.
Russo was leading after a close first ballot. But if Badnarik campaign manager Fred Collins could persuade syndicated radio host Gary Nolan — running third — into dropping out and throwing his support to Badnarik, a coalition of the “Anybody But Russo” forces might just pull off a third-ballot miracle.
Next week: Russo blows the nomination